Presentation Materials
Analyst Meeting Q&A (Earnings Release For the Three Months Ended June 30, 2016)
Announced on July 29, 2016
Please be advised that the following text has been edited/modified from the original Q&A conversations for the sake of clarity.
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Questioner No. 1
Q1 You delivered positive results in the first three months of the fiscal year ending March 31, 2017 (FY2016/1Q). Will it be possible for you to further compress the amount of "Monthly Support" discounts in view of the future while you are generating a healthy income?
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Q2 In the market, the demand for less expensive rate plans, e.g., packages priced at 1,980 yen per month, has become increasingly visible. Since your current pricing regime does not include any offers in this price range, how do you plan to counter them?
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Q3 Regarding the long-term moves toward the deployment of 5G, many players around the world have accelerated their efforts over the last six months or so. Verizon, for instance, has actively publicized their 5G-related undertakings in a splendid marketing campain, dubbing the 5G network "wireless fiber." I heard that you plan to launch commercial 5G services in 2020, but I believe it is about time that you should also accelerate your 5G-related activities. Can you elaborate on your grand design for 5G services?
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Questioner No. 2
Q1 In association with the change of depreciation method, you mentioned that you have increased the expenditures to mitigate the future cost burden. Can you explain the concrete measures implemented in FY2016/1Q? I assume this has negatively affected your equipment sales P/L as well. So, can you also comment on the projected impact caused by the change of depreciation method on your results for the next fiscal year and beyond?
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Q2 Will it be correct to understand that your depreciation expenses have come down by 44 billion yen, but the actual income-boosting effect was 25 billion yen; Of the difference of 19 billion yen, 10 billion yen was appropriated for revision of equipment useful life, and the remaining nine billion yen for device-related expenses?
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Q3 Is it correct to construe that one of the factors behind the deterioration of equipment sales P/L was the reduction of "Monthly Support" discounts?
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Q4 Can you give us a breakdown of the contribution of each business category to the income growth of smart life business and other businesses?
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Q5 Can you share with us the exact the amount of revenue/income increase of categories other than group companies, or revenue/income decrease of group companies?
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Q6 For the full-year of FY2016, you are projecting a year-on-year operating income growth of 127 billion and you have already achieved approximately half of that amount in the first quarter. In addition, the change of depreciation method is expected to bring about a positive impact on income of approximately 25 billion yen in the second and subsequent quarters of FY2016. So, if the revenues from telecommunications business (excluding extraordinary factors) continue to increase into the future, you will most likely achieve the full-year plan just by growing your income by a small margin in the remaining three quarters. Unlike the first quarter, if you are anticipating any factors that could negatively affect your income in the second and subsequent quarters, please let us know.
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Questioner No. 3
Q1 Regarding smart life business and other businesses, given that your group companies enjoyed brisk sales throughout FY2015, do you think these group companies will continue to record a year-on-year drop in operating income during the current fiscal year?
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Q2 I understand that the combined "dmarket" subscriptions recorded an increase on a year-on-year basis as a result of the launch of new services. However, individual services like "dTV," "danime store" and "dkids" have suffered a decline in the number of subscriptions to a level comparable to a year ago. What are your views on the current state and the future outlook of these services in light of the recent trends?
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Q3 In your analysis, do you think the lackluster performance of your video service was caused by the competition with similar services of other companies, or is it attributable to other reasons?
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Questioner No. 4
Q1 Your churn rate is maintained at a low level of 0.62%, but this still represents a 0.03-point degradation compared to the same quarter of the previous fiscal year. I believe this was attributable to the reduced amount of discounts you offer for the sales of handsets and the expanded discounts to long-term users. How do you assess your churn rate of 0.62%?
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Q2 The number of "docomo Hikari" optical-fiber broadband subscriptions grew by approximately 500,000. This may have been influenced by seasonal factors, e.g., peak relocation season, but what should we anticipate for the future in regards to the proportion of contract conversions from FLET's vis-a-vis new subscriptions and the effects of promotional campaigns, etc.?
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Q3 Is it correct to assume that we can arrive at your full-year subscriber acqusition target by multiplying 500,000 by four?
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Questioner No. 5
Q1 Let me hear your evaluation on your FY2016/1Q operating income. I believe the Company's stance is that the FY2016/1Q income was "within the planned range." However, you generated 400 billion yen in EBITDA for FY2016/1Q even when the 18 billion yen impact (from the "Zutto CarryOver" discount)was excluded, which is higher than the EBITDA of 390 billion for the same period of the previous fiscal year. Can you still say this was "within the planned range"? Wasn't this better than your projections?
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Q2 The marginal income ratio of the smart life business and other businesses combined was 40% for FY2016/1Q. Going forward, do you expect this ratio to go up or down or remain flat?
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Q3 You explained that the selection rate of "Kake-hodai Light Plan" now stands at 60%. Is the voice ARPU of "Kake-hodai Light" users lower compared to the overall average? Will the overall voice ARPU come down if the subscription rate of "Kake-hodai Light" continues to increase?
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Questioner No. 6
Q1 Regarding the smart life business and other businesses, if the commodity sales of your group companies are included in the tabulation, it becomes difficult to understand your long-term approach to revenues. I hope you will look into the possibility of disclosing information relating to "dmarket" subscriptions in a way that "will make the projected long-term profitability of the smart life business more visible as the total subscription count and service usage record a steady increase."
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Questioner No. 7
Q1 "Pokémon GO" has become a smash-hit content in many markets around the world, but it has also caused problems such as smartphone-distracted walking. From a carrier's perspective, how do you view this issue?
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Q2 Have you seen any changes in the traffic pattern, sales of accessories or supply and demand of handsets following the launch of "Pokémon GO"?
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Questioner No. 8
Q1 The change of "dmarket" subscriptions appears to be more volatile than before. Do you think you can sustain the recent recovery of subscriptions, or do you foresee any risk of the number dropping again?
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Q2 The progress of net additions acquired in FY2016/1Q vis-a-vis your full-year plan appears to be slow. When I take into consideration that the proportion of MVNO subscriptions to your total net additions is rising, this slow progress may have an impact on the acquisition of new "dmarket" subscriptions. Can you comment on how you view the level of net additions acquired in FY2016/1Q and its impact on the acquisition of new "dmarket" subscriptions for the full year?
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Q3 How have you been faring with the acquisition of net additional subscriptions?
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