Presentation Materials
Analyst Meeting Q&A (Earnings Release For the Nine Months Ended December 31, 2014)
Announced on January 29, 2015
Please be advised that the following text has been edited/modified from the original Q&A conversations for the sake of clarity.
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Questioner No. 1
Q1 I got the impression that the progress of operating income to your full-year guidance has been better than expected. What are the reasons behind this? Despite an improvement in voice ARPU, your mobile communications (voice+packet) ARPU has recorded a year-on-year decrease. There is nothing noteworthy about the growth of subscriptions, which was more or less in line with forecast. Please explain the principal drivers, both in terms of revenues and costs, that lead to the faster-than-expected income generation.
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Q2 Should we expect that the negative impact from the "Hikari Sumaho Wari" handset discount program on your profits will be minimal, and there won't be any risk of profit erosion caused by another round of large-scale cash rebates or other sales promotion activities?
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Q3 I heard that you mentioned in a press conference that you will aim to acquire 1 million "docomo Hikari" subscriptions at an early date. What is the target date for achieving that number?
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Q4 Don't you think 1 million is too low even as a near-term target?
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Questioner No. 2
Q1 I would like to ask three questions relating to "docomo Hikari" broadband service.
- 1.Although there is a slight difference in approach—with KDDI offering discounts to individuals and DOCOMO to households, the billing structures of the two companies are nearly the same. Did you decide to set the rates at similar levels in order to avoid fruitless price competition?
- 2.An analysis on the subscription breakdown of the new billing plans introduced by each mobile operator shows that the uptake of data quota sharing packages is not that high. Why did you employ a strategy to secure subscribers leveraging family-based bundles despite the relatively low popularity of data quota sharing plans? Will there be any possibility for you to change course and start offering individual-oriented discount programs like KDDI?
- 3.I believe you miscalculated the negative profit impact of the new billing plan. Do you think you were able to properly estimate the impact of "docomo Hikari" this time around?
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Q2 Can you disclose the projected profit impact of "docomo Hikari" broadband service?
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Q3 In terms of accounting, do you plan to subtract the amount of discounts for the mobile-fiber bundle package from your ARPU?
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Q4 Your ARPU, according to the current disclosure method, comprises mobile ARPU and smart ARPU. Is it correct to assume that the optical fiber-related discounts will be subtracted from your mobile ARPU?
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Q5 Do you foresee any impact on the ARPU data that you currently disclose as a result of the launch of "docomo Hikari" service?
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Questioner No. 3
Q1 I am concerned that subscribers may concentrate to the least expensive package, as was the case with "Data S Pack" after the launch of the new billing plan. Please share with us if you have any ideas to avoid subscriber concentration to "Share Pack 10" in the initial period after the launch of service, such as limiting the eligibility of "Hikari Sumaho Wari" handset discounts to only those subscribing to "Hikari Share Pack 15" or larger data buckets.
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Q2 Does that mean you plan to promote "Hikari Share Pack 15" as your main offer?
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Questioner No. 4
Q1 In promoting "docomo Hikari," do you plan to emphasize either of the two segments of contract conversions or new subscriptions? In the market, optical fiber connections are already offered at a discount in a bundle with various home appliances and other equipment. Do you plan to promote your service in the same way?
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Q2 This time around, you made no changes to your full-year operating income guidance, which can be attained only with an additional 40 billion yen or so. In your views, what are the factors that could have downward pressure on your FY2014/4Q income? Also, will you review your dividend payout plans, if the actual full-year operating income beats your current guidance?
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Q3 In FY2013/4Q, you managed to generate over 130 billion yen in operating income despite the fierce cash rebate competition amongst carriers. Don't you think your operating income projection for FY2014/4Q of 40-50 billion yen is too low?
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Q4 What are the things that outperformed your expectations compared to the situation when you revised your full-year guidance at the end of the first half? Do you think this improving trend will continue in the fourth quarter? Also, regarding the impairment of assets, do you foresee any write-downs of your subsidiaries?
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Questioner No. 5
Q1 When you single out the Fiber-To-The-Home (FTTH) component of "docomo Hikari", do you think it will provide any positive contributions to your profitability, or will it just break even? Please give us an idea on its P/L impact.
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Q2 In which year do you think it will start generating surplus?
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